Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?―A Critical Examination of Historical Patterns Leading to War Between Great Powers

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Graham Allison 978-1328915382 Mariner Books 2018

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China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one in the field of international relations, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past five hundred years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve.

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